It seems the general consensus is that he started taking steroids after the 1998 season when McGwire and Sosa both broke the old single season record. If you look at his stats starting in 1999, it's pretty amazing what a sudden difference there is.
Thru 1998 and the age of 34 he had 411 home runs in 6621 at bats or an average of a home run every 16.1 at bats. Starting in 1999 he hit 347 home runs in only 3163 at bats or one every 9.1 at bats. And he missed almost the entire 2005 season due to injury, only playing in 14 games with only 42 at bats (5 HRs).
He hit 40+ home runs only 3 times in his first 13 seasons thru 1998 and then hit 40+ for 5 consecutive seasons starting in 2000 after turning 35 during the 1999 season. He would have hit over 40 in 1999 had he not missed so many games due to injurys (were they related to the sudden bulk developed by steroids?). Based on the 34 he hit in only 355 at bats, that would have been about 46 if you take his average at bats from the 4 seasons before and after that season and prorate it.
If he plays an average number of games this season he should end up with somewhere in the neighborhood of 765 to 770. If he then gets on with an AL team next year as a DH where he can play every day, stays healthy and doesn't have to play the field, he could easily hit 40 more meaning he could easily break 800 and possibly 810 to 820. That would mean he hit almost the same number of home runs after he turned 35 as he did before in the prime of his career. I think those are numbers that could only be accomplished with the aide of steroids.
Thru 1998 and the age of 34 he had 411 home runs in 6621 at bats or an average of a home run every 16.1 at bats. Starting in 1999 he hit 347 home runs in only 3163 at bats or one every 9.1 at bats. And he missed almost the entire 2005 season due to injury, only playing in 14 games with only 42 at bats (5 HRs).
He hit 40+ home runs only 3 times in his first 13 seasons thru 1998 and then hit 40+ for 5 consecutive seasons starting in 2000 after turning 35 during the 1999 season. He would have hit over 40 in 1999 had he not missed so many games due to injurys (were they related to the sudden bulk developed by steroids?). Based on the 34 he hit in only 355 at bats, that would have been about 46 if you take his average at bats from the 4 seasons before and after that season and prorate it.
If he plays an average number of games this season he should end up with somewhere in the neighborhood of 765 to 770. If he then gets on with an AL team next year as a DH where he can play every day, stays healthy and doesn't have to play the field, he could easily hit 40 more meaning he could easily break 800 and possibly 810 to 820. That would mean he hit almost the same number of home runs after he turned 35 as he did before in the prime of his career. I think those are numbers that could only be accomplished with the aide of steroids.